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ORIENTIRproperty investment due diligence · Thailand
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The yield guarantee ends. The apartment stays.

What actually happens to the return on a Pattaya condominium in year four — after the developer guarantee expires and you have to rent the unit out yourself.

First session is free. We reply within one Bangkok working day.

year 0123458%3%developer guaranteeguarantee ends3.4% actual
yield in the presentationyield in practice
860
properties analysed in Thailand since 2018
41%
of our reports concluded: do not buy
2.4×
average gap between advertised and actual yield
How people buy today

A four-million-baht decision gets made in three weeks

This is not a reproach. It is how the sale is designed: the buyer is guided professionally along a short route with no room for verification.

01

The advert

A post in a foreign-language channel or a drone shot of the bay. “8% guaranteed for 3 years”.

1–3 days
02

The presentation

Developer PDF: renders, a one-page yield calculation, the word “freehold” with no explanation.

2–4 days
03

The viewing

Showroom, a look at the construction site, dinner on Jomtien. The developer’s agent stays with you all day.

5–10 days
04

The feeling

“It is warm, there is the sea, everything here grows.” The decision is made before any calculation.

1 day
05

The deposit

Booking fee of 50,000–100,000 THB, usually non-refundable. Contract in English and Thai.

2–5 days
Jomtien Beach Road: around forty condominium towers along six kilometres of coast. Most of the supply we review sits here.
What never gets checked

Not one of these is verified along that route

Half of them are Thai legal specifics that buyers discover only after the contract is signed.

01
The 49% foreign quota
Whether freehold quota is still available in the building and how much has already been taken by other foreigners.
02
Freehold or leasehold
A 30-year lease with a “guaranteed” renewal. Under Thai law that renewal is not specifically enforceable.
03
Hotel Act and daily rental
Letting for under 30 days without a hotel licence is unlawful. Many condominiums have banned it outright.
04
Rental pool and management fee
The real commission is 30–40%, not the 20% advertised. Plus exit terms and your own right to use the unit.
05
The yield guarantee
Whether the guarantee is priced into the unit, and what the cash flow looks like in year four.
06
Seasonality and occupancy
High season November to February against green season. Actual annual occupancy, not the projected figure.
07
Competing supply
How many comparable units will hit Jomtien, Na Jomtien and Pratumnak by the time your building completes.
08
CAM fee and sinking fund
Rate per square metre, indexation terms, and how well funded the reserve is in a building over five years old.
09
Tax and moving money
FET form on transfer in, 2% registration, 3.3% SBT on sale within five years, repatriation of profit.
10
Developer and timelines
Record of delays and stalled projects. Thailand has no escrow — your money goes straight to the developer.
11
Resale liquidity
A unit in the foreign quota can only be sold to a foreigner. Median time on market in Pattaya is 12–20 months.
12
The exit scenario
Who buys it from you, when, at what price and in which currency — and what you lose on tax and FX.
Pattaya districts

The same baht buys a different asset six kilometres down the coast

Yield, remaining foreign quota and how long a resale sits on the market differ more between districts than between buildings. Choose one.

SUKHUMVIT RDN5 kmGULF OF THAILANDNaklua – WongamatCentral PattayaPratumnakJomtienNa JomtienBang Saray
SELECTED DISTRICT

 

 

Median price 
Net yield, realistic 
Foreign quota remaining 
Under construction 
Median resale exposure 
Select a district on the map or in the list. Figures are 2025–26 medians, not asking prices.

Occupancy through the year, Jomtien

our tracking of 180 buildings, 2025
71J
73F
62M
54A
38M
33J
36J
37A
29S
34O
52N
68D
49%
high seasongreen seasonDeveloper projections are usually built on 80% year-round.
Case studies

What due diligence would have shown before the deposit

Three Pattaya condominiums bought without expertise. None of them is a bad apartment — the error was in the arithmetic, not in the choice of unit.

IndicatorIn the presentationActual 2025
Studio, 30 m², entry price฿2,950,000฿2,950,000
Advertised yield8.0% · 3-year guaranteeguarantee expired
Average annual occupancy80%47%
Nightly rate฿1,800฿1,150
Management commission25%35%
CAM fee, 50 THB/m²/monthnot stated฿18,000/yr
Net yield on capital8.0%3.4%

Converted at 34.5 THB per USD, updated daily.

Case one: a 2019 high-rise on Jomtien. Studios from 28 m², sold with a three-year rental guarantee.
20222025−4.6 pp
what due diligence would have shown
  • The 8% guarantee was priced in: comparable studios nearby sold 21% cheaper.
  • Actual occupancy for this class on Jomtien in 2020–2022 was 44–51%.
  • The 25% management fee applied to gross revenue, before OTA commission.
  • Conclusion: buy only at a 20% discount and on a long-let model.
IndicatorIn the presentationActual 2025
1 bed, 42 m², entry price฿4,600,000฿4,600,000
Advertised yield9.0% · daily lets
Rental formatdailybanned by the JP in 2023
Projected monthly income฿38,000/mo฿18,500/mo
Void between tenantsnot stated2.5 months per year
CAM fee and sinking fundnot stated฿27,700/yr
Net yield on capital9.0%3.1%

Converted at 34.5 THB per USD. JP = the condominium juristic person.

Pratumnak: low-rise blocks on the hillside — the segment where juristic persons banned nightly lets first.
20212025−5.9 pp
what due diligence would have shown
  • The whole yield model relied on daily lets, which are unlawful without a hotel licence.
  • Neighbouring Pratumnak buildings had passed the same ban back in 2021–2022.
  • The long-let rate for this size and location is 17,000–20,000 THB, not 38,000.
  • Conclusion: do not buy on the stated model. As a long-let asset the price was 30% too high.
IndicatorIn the presentationActual 2025
2 bed, 62 m², off-plan฿6,200,000฿6,200,000
Completion dateQ4 2021Q2 2023
Capital growth over 4 years+35%−11% in THB
Form of ownershipfreeholdquota full, leasehold issued
Time on market when sellingnot stated19 months, no sale
Tax on sale within 5 yearsnot stated3.3% SBT + 2%
Net yield on capital12.0%1.6%

Converted at 34.5 THB per USD. SBT = Specific Business Tax.

Na Jomtien, 2021: the off-plan tower from case three, eighteen months behind schedule when this was taken.
20192025−10.4 pp
what due diligence would have shown
  • The developer had two projects delayed by over a year; Thailand has no escrow protection.
  • Foreign quota remaining at booking was 6% — the leasehold risk was visible in advance.
  • Supply under construction in Na Jomtien exceeded annual local demand by 2.8 times.
  • Conclusion: do not buy.
Self-check

Check your own decision in two minutes

“Yes” means you hold a document or a verifiable source — not a verbal assurance from an agent.

Six questions about the condominium you are considering

QUOTADo you have written confirmation from the developer of how much foreign freehold quota is left in this building?
RENTALDo you know whether daily letting is permitted here, and what the juristic person’s rules actually say?
GUARANTEEHave you calculated the yield for year four, once the developer guarantee has expired?
OCCUPANCYDo you have actual occupancy data for comparable buildings in this location, rather than the seller’s forecast?
COSTSHave you costed CAM fee, sinking fund, property tax, voids and furniture replacement over five years?
EXITDo you have an exit plan: to whom, in how many years, at what price and with what tax?
Where it goes wrong

A decision has three layers. Usually only the first is visible

LAYER 1

The apartment

Layout, sea view, floor, finish, rooftop pool, price per square metre.

Buyers handle this themselves
LAYER 2

Law and house rules

Quota, ownership form, juristic person by-laws, management agreement, rental regime, running costs.

Documents in Thai; the substance is in the annexes
LAYER 3

The exit scenario

Who buys this from you, at what price, in how many years, and what you lose on tax and exchange rate.

Almost never considered before purchase

The error does not occur on the first layer. A good apartment in a building with unfavourable by-laws and no exit plan is the most common structure we take apart.

How we work

Five stages. Twelve factors. One document at the end

01

Defining the brief

Your horizon, required return, tax residency, and the role of the unit: rental, personal use or resale.

1 day
02

Legal review

Chanote, remaining foreign quota, juristic person by-laws, sale contract and management agreement. Handled by a Thai lawyer.

4–5 days
03

Location analysis

Occupancy and rates for comparable buildings, pipeline supply, EEC infrastructure, the local resale market.

4–5 days
04

Financial model

Three scenarios, full cost of ownership, figures in baht and in your currency, tax on sale, cost of exit.

3 days
05

Report and defence

A document with a direct recommendation, plus an hour with the analyst who wrote it.

2 days
№ 2026-0731PAGE 1 / 52
Investment due diligence:
condominium, Jomtien, Chonburi
Client’s required return8.0%
Base case3.9%
Downside case1.4%
Foreign quota remaining4.1%
Time to exit7–9 years
RECOMMENDATION
Do not buy at the current price
report spread, data redacted
What you get

What you are left holding

01

A 45–60 page report

All twelve factors, with a cited source behind every figure.

02

Financial model in Excel

Open, with your inputs, in baht and your own currency. You can rerun the scenarios yourself.

03

Thai lawyer’s opinion

Chanote, quota, juristic person by-laws and every annex to the contract.

04

A direct recommendation

Buy, do not buy, or buy subject to specific conditions on price and contract.

05

Risk register

Ranked, with probability and cost of each risk stated in baht.

06

Defence of findings

One hour with the analyst who wrote the report. Any question about the numbers.

Pricing

Three ways to work with us

The fee is fixed before we start and never depends on our conclusion. It works out at roughly 2–3% of the transaction.

Express scoring
฿12,000
2–3 days

A one-page verdict on a single unit. For when a deposit deadline is already running.

  • Foreign quota checked with the developer
  • Rental regime and by-laws
  • Realistic yield range
  • Go / no-go with the reasons
Start here
Most chosen
Full due diligence
from ฿95,000
2 weeks

The complete review: law, location, financial model and a recommendation we defend to your face.

  • 45–60 page report, every figure sourced
  • Thai lawyer’s opinion on the title
  • Open Excel model, three scenarios
  • An hour defending the findings
Book a session
Portfolio retainer
on request
ongoing

For buyers looking at several units at once, or funds building a position in Chonburi.

  • Unlimited express scorings
  • Quarterly portfolio review
  • Priority turnaround
  • Direct line to a partner
Talk to us

Prices exclude 7% VAT. 50% on start, 50% on delivery, invoice with Thai tax details.

Independence

We take no commission from developers or agencies in Pattaya. Our only income is the client’s fee.

CONFLICT OF INTEREST

In Thailand the agent’s commission is 3–7% and is paid entirely by the developer. We are not part of that arrangement and we do not sell property.

NEGATIVE FINDINGS

41% of our reports recommend not buying. The fee does not depend on the conclusion and is agreed with you in advance.

VERIFIABILITY

Every figure carries its source: Land Department records, juristic person minutes, dated resale listings.

The team

Every report is signed by a named person

You know who ran the analysis, and you can question them directly — in English, Russian or Thai.

Our office on Thappraya Road. Sessions are held here or by video call.
AK
Andrey Kovalenko
partner, valuation
12 years in the Thai market. Previously managed a rental portfolio in Chonburi and Phuket.
MS
Marina Shevchuk
market analyst
Maintains occupancy and rate data on 180 Pattaya condominiums. Author of the quarterly Chonburi review.
SP
Somchai Preecha
Thai lawyer
Licensed with the Lawyers Council of Thailand. Chanote, quota and by-law review. 300+ transactions.
DL
Daniel Lau
financial modelling
Financial modelling and sensitivity analysis across multi-currency structures.
860
properties analysed
฿4.1B
combined value of transactions reviewed
180
Pattaya condominiums in our occupancy database
2018
working in Thailand since
What clients say

Most of them came to us after signing something

Published with permission. Names withheld at the clients’ request — the numbers are not.

They told us not to buy and showed why, in numbers. That report saved us about four million baht and a long argument with the agent.
Private buyer · Jomtien · 2025
The by-laws were the part I could not get anywhere else. Everyone said I could rent it out nightly. Orientir showed me the resolution saying I could not.
Buyer from Almaty · Pratumnak · 2026
We used them on three units. Two came back yes with conditions on price, one a flat no. The no was the most valuable of the three.
Family office · Bangkok · 2024–2026
Insights

What we publish between reviews

Our own data on occupancy, quota and pipeline, written up when there is something worth reporting.

Chonburimin

What the new by-laws changed for nightly letting

Nine Pattaya buildings amended their rules in the first half of 2026. We read all nine and set out what it means for owners already in a rental pool.

Read
Quotamin

Foreign freehold in Jomtien new-builds: what is left in mid-2026

Remaining quota across 34 buildings under construction, including the four projects where freehold has already run out.

Read
Taxmin

SBT and getting money out: what to calculate before the deal

A worked example of the full cost of exit on a five-year hold, including the FET form, the 3.3% and the currency spread.

Read
Quarterly review, plus notes as the rules changeAll publications
Common questions

What people usually ask

Express scoring of a single unit is 12,000 THB, delivered in 2–3 days as a one-page result. Full due diligence starts at 95,000 THB depending on district and complexity. The fee is fixed before work begins and does not depend on the conclusion.
A negative finding is as much a result as a positive one. The work costs roughly 2–3% of the transaction, while a decision not to buy preserves the capital in full. In our practice it is the most frequent recommendation.
An agent receives 3–7% from the developer and earns only when you buy. We do not sell property and we take no developer commission. We answer one question: whether this particular unit is worth your money at your horizon.
In a Thai condominium, foreigners may hold no more than 49% of the saleable area as freehold. The rest is structured as a 30-year lease or through a Thai company. If the quota is full you will be offered leasehold — a different asset, with different liquidity and a different price. We verify the remaining quota before any deposit.
Under the Hotel Act, letting for less than 30 days without a hotel licence is not permitted. Some buildings operate under a hotel licence, some have banned nightly lets by resolution of the juristic person, and some sit in a grey area. Yield depends directly on this, so we check the by-laws and the minutes rather than the agent’s word.
No, provided there is time before the contract is signed. Express scoring takes 2–3 days and surfaces the critical risks. A booking fee in Thailand is usually 50,000–100,000 THB and often non-refundable — but that is far less than the cost of the wrong purchase.
Two weeks from the brief, of which four to five days are the lawyer's. Express scoring is 2–3 days. If you are up against a booking deadline, say so at the session and we will tell you honestly whether it fits.
Yes. Both are legitimate structures with specific risks, and we price those risks rather than dismiss them. For leasehold we look at the remaining term, the renewal wording and whether it is registered at the Land Department. For a Thai company we look at who the shareholders actually are and what annual compliance costs.
That is itself a finding and it goes in the report. In practice most developers hand over the chanote, the by-laws and the draft contract once a buyer asks in writing. A refusal to show the by-laws before a deposit is a reason to walk away, not a formality.
No. We do not act as agent, escrow or signatory — that would put us on both sides of the table. We can review documents your lawyer prepares and attend the Land Department transfer as an observer, but the transaction stays with you.
Bank transfer in baht to the company account, or in dollars or euros to our correspondent account. Invoice with Thai tax details, 50% on start and 50% on delivery. No cash and no payments from third parties.
We calculate the Thai side in full: transfer fee, specific business tax, withholding and rental income tax. What happens in your country of residence depends on its treaty with Thailand — there we hand you the figures and recommend a local adviser rather than guess.
Book a session

Let us look at your unit before you pay the deposit

Forty minutes with an analyst. You arrive with a project or with a budget; you leave knowing exactly what needs checking and what that costs.

FORMATvideo call or our Jomtien office
LANGUAGEEnglish, Russian, Thai, Chinese
LENGTH40 minutes
FEEno charge
LED BYa partner or senior analyst
YOU LEAVE WITHa risk list for your unit and a quote for the review
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An analyst will contact you within one Bangkok working day to agree a time. If you have the project presentation, send it in advance and the review will be more specific.

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